Understanding the depth, diffusion and duration of this recession by looking at the business cycle offers hope, according to ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan.

Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions.

High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. Check out the various indicators that predict a recession is coming soon.

Economists used the business cycle to predict what’s next. It doesn’t work so well anymore. Where’s the recession? Changes like the pandemic crash and government funding programs have ...

The index is currently just above the -0.80 mark that a San Francisco Fed paper identified as a level signaling recession conditions (red line in chart below).

Leading indicators point to an economic slowdown. Here’s how to know when it’s here and what steps you can take to shore up your finances.

Phases of a Business Cycle There are four phases to a business cycle: peak, contraction or recession, trough and recovery or expansion.

Business cycles are the "ups and downs" in economic activity, defined in terms of periods of expansion or recession. During expansions, the economy, measured by indicators like jobs, production, and ...

What’s the best way to recession-proof your business? Many organizations rely on cost cutting – but data from the last U.S. recession suggests there’s another strategy worth considering.

A recession has to start sometime. This next chart looks at the economy in aggregate, and on a monthly rather than quarterly basis. (The Business Cycle Dating Committee dates recessions both ways.) ...

Economists warn that an official recession may not be declared for months or even years, as the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) relies on a broader set of indicators and retrospective ...

"Economic weakness will intensify and spread more widely throughout the US economy over the coming months, leading to a recession starting in mid-2023." ...