As the U.S. economy shrinks, fears and predictions of a recession continue to grow. New Commerce Department data shows that the country's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted at an annual rate ...

The NBER defines a recession as the period of decline from peak to trough in the business cycle. Peak to Trough A recession begins when the economy has reached a peak in activity and begins a decline.

How economists identify recessions and stagflation 03:21. As tariff uncertainty continues to roil the stock market, some economists believe the U.S. could be headed toward a recession, a ...

Recessions are a normal part of the economic cycle, but there’s some disagreement on what constitutes a recession and what it means for you. Find out what a recession is, how one starts, how it ...

Commerce secretary says Trump's policies are "worth it" even if they lead to recession 04:20. The nation's unemployment rate did tick up last month, to 4.1% from 4%, though that is still quite low.

Explore the definition, causes, and impacts of a recession, including economic decline, job losses, and reduced consumer spending. Business Insider Subscribe Newsletters ...

A recession in the early 1980s sent the unemployment rate almost to 11%, ... Officially, the arbiter of recessions is the National Bureau of Economic Research’s Business Cycle Dating Committee.

NBER says its other recession determinations have taken between four and 21 months. There is no fixed timing rule. The committee waits until it’s confident to make a confirmation, according to NBER.

Who declares a recession? The job of documenting the economic cycles, including recessions, does not fall to the federal government. Instead, the NBER’s Business Cycle Dating Committee — made ...

Tightening monetary policy did not cause a recession during 2022 and 2023, and, we believe, is unlikely to cause one in 2024 and 2025. The reason is what we call the Credit Crisis Cycle.

The National Bureau of Economic Research, a non-profit that tracks U.S. business cycles, defines a recession as “a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and ...

“That’s uncomfortably high -- and it’s rising,” Zandi said. Goldman Sachs last week hiked its odds of a recession from 15% to 20%. J.P. Morgan Chase economists pegged the chances of a ...