The network is giving Kalshi, a volatile and easily gamed prediction market, authority it once reserved for actual polling.

Thailand’s viral hippo, Moo Deng, "predicted" Trump’s 2024 win by choosing a watermelon with his name. A video of the event was shared on the New York Post’s Twitter, sparking online buzz. Moo Deng’s ...

Prediction markets have grown rapidly, enabling wagers on a variety of subjects, including politics and sports. Their rise has not gone unopposed. Prediction markets have surged, especially post-2024 ...

The Economist’s model of America’s congressional elections estimates both major parties’ chances of winning each House and Senate race, and of controlling each legislative chamber. The forecast ...

Here are some takeaways about who voted early in the 2024 election, according to vote tracking data. There are over a dozen U.S. states that don't declare Election Day a public holiday, and do not ...