As the U.S. economy shrinks, fears and predictions of a recession continue to grow. New Commerce Department data shows that the country's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted at an annual rate ...

How economists identify recessions and stagflation 03:21. As tariff uncertainty continues to roil the stock market, some economists believe the U.S. could be headed toward a recession, a ...

Leading indicators point to an economic slowdown. Here’s how to know when it’s here and what steps you can take to shore up ...

Certified financial planners and other wealth management executives share the steps you need to take in the event of an ...

Recessions are a normal part of the economic cycle, but there’s some disagreement on what constitutes a recession and what it means for you. Find out what a recession is, how one starts, how it ...

The committee has maintained a chronology of U.S. business cycles since its creation in 1978. Without an alternate chronology compiled or published by the U.S. government, the committee became the ...

Commerce secretary says Trump's policies are "worth it" even if they lead to recession 04:20. The nation's unemployment rate did tick up last month, to 4.1% from 4%, though that is still quite low.

NBER says its other recession determinations have taken between four and 21 months. There is no fixed timing rule. The committee waits until it’s confident to make a confirmation, according to NBER.

In today's news cycle, recession headlines come and go. Amid trade war anxieties, stock market roller-coaster rides and global conflict, no one is hoping for a major economic setback -- except ...

The National Bureau of Economic Research, a non-profit that tracks U.S. business cycles, defines a recession as “a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and ...

Recession fears are mounting on Wall Street.. Goldman Sachs and Moody’s Analytics in recent days joined forecasters raising alarm about the increased likelihood of an economic downturn.

Tightening monetary policy did not cause a recession during 2022 and 2023, and, we believe, is unlikely to cause one in 2024 and 2025. The reason is what we call the Credit Crisis Cycle.