Labour needs to increase its vote share to avoid becoming a one-term government or being forced into coalition with others, the research suggests.
The Corbynites - backed by militant trade union leaders - are on the march. And Sir Keir is very much in their sights.
The UK and Welsh governments will collaborate on health care for the first time in an effort to drive down waiting lists on both sides of the border, Labour is set to announce.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves will use her Labour Party conference speech to insist she is optimistic for the future despite the legacy she inherited.