BCIp from Georg Vrba: down -6.2 to 18.5 iM's Business Cycle Index (100 is max value, below 25 is recession signal averaging 20 weeks ahead) The Miller Score is designed to look 52 weeks ahead for ...

The iM Business Cycle Index (BCI) was designed for a timely signal before the beginning of a recession, and is fully described in the three articles, all found here.In summary, the iM BCI combines ...

Leading indicators point to an economic slowdown. Here’s how to know when it’s here and what steps you can take to shore up your finances.

There are four phases to a business cycle: peak, contraction or recession, trough and recovery or expansion. ... according to peak-to-trough information on the NBER chart of U.S. business cycles.

According to this chart from Glenmede, under 35% of stocks in the S&P 500 are performing better than the index on a trailing 3-month basis, and that number was lower than 20% recently.

The 2008 U.S. recession is a business cycle example in which the economy plummeted a brutal 8.4 percent during the fourth quarter ... Business Insider: Business Cycles Chart the Ups and Downs of ...

The “business cycle” might just be one of the oldest ideas in economics. For more than 200 years, economists have been pointing to the tendency of economies to expand, then slow down, contract ...

This next chart looks at the economy in aggregate, and on a monthly rather than quarterly basis. (The Business Cycle Dating Committee dates recessions both ways.) ...

President Donald Trump says his administration is making “very big” moves and has acknowledged there’s likely a “period of transition” or “disturbance” that could result.

LONDON, Jan 26 (Reuters) - Optimistic investors are hoping for a soft landing in 2023 - with inflation decelerating while the business cycle slows but avoids outright recession. However, this ...

The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index declined further in March, suggesting a recession will hit in mid-2023. The LEI is down 4.5% over the last six months, a steeper decline than the 3.5% ...