The Biden-era fear that the United States was drifting toward a downturn in 2026 has given way to a very different message ...

While the NBER collects economic data ostensibly to aid policymakers, the data it acquires is useless without proper economic theory to correctly interpret the ...

The next downturn is no longer a distant abstraction. Economic gauges are flashing warning colors, corporate layoff announcements are piling up, and the safety nets that cushioned the last crisis look ...

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has warned that the U.S. economy is showing signs of strain, and that if the Federal Reserve ...

Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, discusses the updated ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, which has seen some progress underneath the surface despite ...

A new Rosenberg Research indicator shows that only 18 percent of the U.S. population now lives in regions classified as economically expanding—the lowest share since May 2020. This col ...

In their 2026 global investment outlooks, both Amundi and Northern Trust Asset Management have pointed to a year ahead defined less by slowdown and more by a careful balancing act. Amundi expects the ...

Discover insights on US stock market volatility, liquidity challenges, and Fed policy shifts. Learn how resilient ...

Look for recession indicators, and suddenly you might start seeing them everywhere. The U.S. stock market strung together ...

There’s an old joke in economics that stock markets have predicted nine out of the past five recessions. The point being that predicting a recession solely based on the stock market is difficult.

New home sales missed estimates, showing that demand isn’t crashing but not growing much either. However, we need to keep an eye on the housing construction data in this report because it has huge ...